Friday, March 24, 2006

Gold Price Prediction

Ian Telfer has made a gold price prediction that is not out of line with other quite knowledgable experienced people in the industry.

"NP/DJ say ex Goldcorp CEO sees gold at $5,500 (U.S.)

Thursday March 23 2006 - In the News

The National Post reports in its Thursday, March 23, edition that former Goldcorp chief executive officer Ian Telfer can see gold trading at $5,500 (U.S.) an ounce. A Dow Jones dispatch to the Post reports that Mr. Telfer suggests a perfect storm is in place for gold to replicate exponential gains seen at least twice in the past century. "I happen to be bullish on gold," said the former chief of Goldcorp and current chairman of U.S. Gold Corp. Mr. McEwen is adamant that a number of key fundamentals have changed over the past six years to create another gold rush. Mr. Telfer says in 1966, it took 28 ounces of gold to buy the Dow Jones index. But in the 1970s, gold went from around $41 (U.S.) an ounce to more than $840 (U.S.) an ounce by 1980. That was a year when one ounce of gold could buy the index. In the late 1990s, it took 44 ounces of gold to buy the DJI. These days? it takes about 19 ounces to buy a DJI. Mr. McEwen said gold investors should watch this ratio carefully. If, down the road, the gold-to-index ratio moves to 5:1, investors should start thinking about an exit out of gold. If it moves to 2:1, investors should take their money off the table, Mr. McEwen said."

Further out in time, if the gold/Dow index is down to 2:1, the gold price predictions should be astronomical at that point in time from those that do not understand that the top of the bull is about in place.

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